La crisis industrial vista en el largo plazo

Evolución del indice de producción industrial en España entre 1975 y 2012

He sacado un gráfico rápido con la serie del Indice de Producción Industrial del INE para observar en perspectiva la profundidad de la crisis industrial actual. Los datos son mensuales y cubren desde enero de 1975 hasta agosto de 2012; tienen una fuerte estacionalidad (caída del mes de agosto) que eliminamos con una media móvil anual. Se observa el estancamiento de la primera mitad de la década de los ochenta (la "reconversión industrial"), la crisis de 1992-1994, el fuerte crecimiento entre 1995 y 2008 y la caída brutal del índice en 2008, volviendo en la actualidad (agosto de 2012) a niveles de principios de los noventa. Se aprecia ya, por tanto, la ruptura de largo plazo que esta crisis está produciendo en el sector industrial.

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